Snow Today
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
Math inequality
Monday, December 13, 2010
Posted by
Auntie Ann
This is about twice as long as it needed to be, but it's worth watching:
From Mark Perry at Carpe Diem, why do boys outscore girls on the math SAT?
From Mark Perry at Carpe Diem, why do boys outscore girls on the math SAT?
Frisking Diplomats
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
Indian diplomats have gotten their saris in a bunch over having been frisked by the TSA.
Boo freakin' hoo.
You think that because you are a diplomat, or a US Senator, or a member of some other self-proclaimed elite, that you should not have to go through the TSA process the rest of us have to? I call bullsh*t. If I have to go through it, then everyone else should have to as well. It's called "equality under the law."
Ann says: But diplomatic immunity is as helpful to us overseas as it is to visitors here. Do we want to do away with it, knowing that if we do, we will lose it for ourselves in other countries? What percentage of our necessary spying takes place under the cover of diplomatic immunity? The world is a safer place when we know what is going on in other countries. I'm not ready to throw all that away, just so that everyone has to go through the same foolish security-theater at airports.
Steve: Yes, I think diplomatic immunity should be abandoned. I would bet our gains from it overseas are greatly exceeded by our losses due to it at home.
"On December 4, Indian ambassador to the United States Meera Shankar was selected by security officials at a Mississippi airport for a pat-down search, despite reportedly notifying officials of her diplomatic status."
...
"We have taken it up with the U.S. authorities and the matter is at that stage," External Affairs Minister S.M. Krishna said on Monday, referring to Puri, a Sikh.
Sikh men keep their hair covered at all times with a turban, which is not allowed to be touched in public.
Boo freakin' hoo.
You think that because you are a diplomat, or a US Senator, or a member of some other self-proclaimed elite, that you should not have to go through the TSA process the rest of us have to? I call bullsh*t. If I have to go through it, then everyone else should have to as well. It's called "equality under the law."
Ann says: But diplomatic immunity is as helpful to us overseas as it is to visitors here. Do we want to do away with it, knowing that if we do, we will lose it for ourselves in other countries? What percentage of our necessary spying takes place under the cover of diplomatic immunity? The world is a safer place when we know what is going on in other countries. I'm not ready to throw all that away, just so that everyone has to go through the same foolish security-theater at airports.
Steve: Yes, I think diplomatic immunity should be abandoned. I would bet our gains from it overseas are greatly exceeded by our losses due to it at home.
Obama the Mythbuster
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
President Obama will be on Mythbusters this evening. He will be asking the show's hosts to once again investigate the possibility of "Archimedes' Death Ray." This is the legend that Archimedes was able to destroy ships at sea by having soldiers reflect enough sunlight off their shields to set the ships on fire. The Mythbusters have investigated this twice before, and each time it was "busted."


Really, it's preposterous, unless by "ships at sea" you mean ships a hundred feet from shore, sitting motionless in absolutely still water, and if by "shields" you mean parabolic mirrors. I found the whole process of testing this myth pretty boring. Both times. The myths that I think work best for testing are the ones that have some degree of believability from the start. I wasn't buying this one.
On the other hand, part of me thinks that they must have come up with some contrived way to make this work, or they wouldn't bother testing it a third time. I doubt President Obama came to them with this problem. They probably already had a plan to retest it and suggested it to him.
I think having the President on the show is a fun idea. It might get kids interested in science. I just wish they would have chosen a better myth.
Archimedes was a genius. I am awestruck by some of the mathematics he was able to do over two thousand years ago. With his towering achievements, it would be a shame to associate him mainly with this mythical "Death Ray."
Update: Busted again.


Really, it's preposterous, unless by "ships at sea" you mean ships a hundred feet from shore, sitting motionless in absolutely still water, and if by "shields" you mean parabolic mirrors. I found the whole process of testing this myth pretty boring. Both times. The myths that I think work best for testing are the ones that have some degree of believability from the start. I wasn't buying this one.
On the other hand, part of me thinks that they must have come up with some contrived way to make this work, or they wouldn't bother testing it a third time. I doubt President Obama came to them with this problem. They probably already had a plan to retest it and suggested it to him.
I think having the President on the show is a fun idea. It might get kids interested in science. I just wish they would have chosen a better myth.
Archimedes was a genius. I am awestruck by some of the mathematics he was able to do over two thousand years ago. With his towering achievements, it would be a shame to associate him mainly with this mythical "Death Ray."
Update: Busted again.
Acceptance
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
George Will:
Yes. Duh! How hard is this to understand?? How many more such essays are conservative and libertarian pundits going to write? Blah blah blah "10th Amendment!!" blah blah blah "Founders' Intent!!" blah blah blah "Federalism!!" It's like a bunch of people sitting around a burnt-out light bulb endlessly talking about how illuminating and warm it was. It's burnt out!
Perhaps I'm being too harsh. Go on quoting Marbury vs Madison, George. I'll go on living 200 years later, in what is often referred to as "the real world."
Has the U.S. Supreme Court construed the commerce clause so permissively that Congress has seized, by increments, a sweeping police power that enables it to do virtually anything it wants?
Yes. Duh! How hard is this to understand?? How many more such essays are conservative and libertarian pundits going to write? Blah blah blah "10th Amendment!!" blah blah blah "Founders' Intent!!" blah blah blah "Federalism!!" It's like a bunch of people sitting around a burnt-out light bulb endlessly talking about how illuminating and warm it was. It's burnt out!
Perhaps I'm being too harsh. Go on quoting Marbury vs Madison, George. I'll go on living 200 years later, in what is often referred to as "the real world."
Politicians and the debt
Tuesday, December 7, 2010
Posted by
Auntie Ann
Everyone always comments that the debt rose sharply under Republican presidents and declined under Democrats...basically just Clinton. And, it's true. Here's the graph.

But no one points out that in Washington, it takes three to tango. Here's the same data, matched to control of the Senate:

And here it is matched to the House of Representatives:

One note on how I colored the bars. I figured if a politician gets elected in 2010, he takes office at the start of 2011, but the first budget that he can pass is for the 2012 year. So that's how I colored the bars, and that's why it might look a little off. I didn't just go by election year. Otherwise, Republicans would get assigned our current year, even when all of Washington was firmly in the hands of Democrats, and I figured there was also a lag between taking office and actually starting to change things. For example, with this method, Bush gets blamed for Tarp I. Otherwise, it would have all fallen under Obama.

But no one points out that in Washington, it takes three to tango. Here's the same data, matched to control of the Senate:

And here it is matched to the House of Representatives:

One note on how I colored the bars. I figured if a politician gets elected in 2010, he takes office at the start of 2011, but the first budget that he can pass is for the 2012 year. So that's how I colored the bars, and that's why it might look a little off. I didn't just go by election year. Otherwise, Republicans would get assigned our current year, even when all of Washington was firmly in the hands of Democrats, and I figured there was also a lag between taking office and actually starting to change things. For example, with this method, Bush gets blamed for Tarp I. Otherwise, it would have all fallen under Obama.
Warren Buffet's Interest
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
It's well-known that Warren Buffet is in favor of the estate tax. He is a favorite of the pro-tax pundits out there. They paint him as a humanitarian, willing to give up more of his wealth for the good of the people. However, he has another interest in the matter. A comment posted here:
Warren Buffet owns six life insurance comapanies. Yeesh. Like I wasn't cynical enough already.
You can read a pdf report of the life insurance lobby's efforts to re-institute high estate taxes here.
I used to work IT in the Hartford Insurance arena. One day an agent sold a Life insurance policy worth 50 million dollars to a 75 year old man. The client paid a single premium of about 53 million and his son was the sole benficiary.
Why would anyone do this? because Insurance benefits are not taxed like a ‘death tax’
Warren Buffet owns six life insurance comapanies. Yeesh. Like I wasn't cynical enough already.
You can read a pdf report of the life insurance lobby's efforts to re-institute high estate taxes here.
Comments Sections
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
Typically, I find the comments sections of blogs to be pretty depressing. Once in a while though, I am pleasantly surprised. Here, someone at The Corner posts an article praising the new airport security measures and the people who implement them. Commenters rightly give him what-for.
On the other end of the political spectrum, in this article at Huffington Post, a doctor warns of the horrible dangers of mixing alchohol with caffiene. "Combining alcohol and caffeine is -- in one word -- crazy. Don't do it! It has an excellent chance of hurting you, and a fairly good chance of killing you." Yes, that's right. Rum and Coke, Kaluha and Cream, Irish Coffee... cocktails of death!! His readers let him have it.
In both cases, the comments are pretty satisfying.
On the other end of the political spectrum, in this article at Huffington Post, a doctor warns of the horrible dangers of mixing alchohol with caffiene. "Combining alcohol and caffeine is -- in one word -- crazy. Don't do it! It has an excellent chance of hurting you, and a fairly good chance of killing you." Yes, that's right. Rum and Coke, Kaluha and Cream, Irish Coffee... cocktails of death!! His readers let him have it.
In both cases, the comments are pretty satisfying.
Tuition and Fees (II)
Monday, November 22, 2010
Posted by
Auntie Ann
Doing some more math...if you put the 4-year cost of a Carleton education, $224,600, into investments, and only got back 3% a year, that would give you an annual benefit of $6,700 per year. In addition, instead of wasting four years paying others, you could easily make $20,000/year at a low-end job. That's $80,000 in your pocket, instead of $224k going out--a swing of over $300,000.
Of course, the $224k number doesn't take into account interest on loans. According to this loan calculator, assuming that Carleton's tuition will be 5% higher next year ($54,715), and an incoming freshman borrowed that entire amount, they will have to pay back $67,920 just for their first year--24% more than the initial loan of $55k. Carrying out the calculations at 24% overall loan interest, and a 5% tuition increase each year, that comes to approximately: $292,700 (Grinnell comes to $265,500).
So would a student whose family saved for college and could cover the cost be better off pocketing the cash?
Would a student who had to borrow $300,000 for a high-end diploma be better off getting a job instead?
Is the piece of paper from Carleton, Grinnell, or another high-end college worth $300,000?
Of course, the $224k number doesn't take into account interest on loans. According to this loan calculator, assuming that Carleton's tuition will be 5% higher next year ($54,715), and an incoming freshman borrowed that entire amount, they will have to pay back $67,920 just for their first year--24% more than the initial loan of $55k. Carrying out the calculations at 24% overall loan interest, and a 5% tuition increase each year, that comes to approximately: $292,700 (Grinnell comes to $265,500).
So would a student whose family saved for college and could cover the cost be better off pocketing the cash?
Would a student who had to borrow $300,000 for a high-end diploma be better off getting a job instead?
Is the piece of paper from Carleton, Grinnell, or another high-end college worth $300,000?
Tuition and Fees
Sunday, November 21, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
Tuition and fees at Carleton College, my alma mater
Academic Tuition Fees 2010-2011
Tuition: $41,076
Student Activity Fee: $228
Room: $5,676
20 Meal Plan (full board): $5,130
Total Due: $52,110
Absurd. If anyone asked for advice, I'd advise them to go elsewhere. Carleton is a fine school, but it's not worth $52000/year. A state school like Minnesota or Wisconsin would be about 1/3rd of that. I couldn't begin to justify the additional expense of going private.
Ann says: There are only three reasons to go private these days: 1) to get the name on the diploma, 2) choosing a network of friends, 3) being able to graduate in four years instead of 5-6. None of those are worth the$172,500 $224,600 (my math was wrong) Carleton or other high-end privates will cost to get through. (That's assuming 4 years at 5% tuition growth per year--when I was in school, the average increase was 8%.) Grinnell's 4-year cost at 5% growth per year is currently: $203,700.
If a student really has their heart set on a private, they should do a 2-year AB, then transfer in. Even that isn't worth it--especially if you have a soft major. And if you want to do a hard major like math, science, or engineering, you're better off with the larger facilities and opportunities of a state school anyway.
I come down on the side that young adults should walk away from school for a few years to decide what they want to do with their lives. Spending time being aimless at college, and spending a fortune doing it, really doesn't make any sense. You should only go to college these days if you have a real, concrete goal that requires a specific degree. (As long as you don't want to be yet another lawyer!)
Academic Tuition Fees 2010-2011
Tuition: $41,076
Student Activity Fee: $228
Room: $5,676
20 Meal Plan (full board): $5,130
Total Due: $52,110
Absurd. If anyone asked for advice, I'd advise them to go elsewhere. Carleton is a fine school, but it's not worth $52000/year. A state school like Minnesota or Wisconsin would be about 1/3rd of that. I couldn't begin to justify the additional expense of going private.
Ann says: There are only three reasons to go private these days: 1) to get the name on the diploma, 2) choosing a network of friends, 3) being able to graduate in four years instead of 5-6. None of those are worth the
If a student really has their heart set on a private, they should do a 2-year AB, then transfer in. Even that isn't worth it--especially if you have a soft major. And if you want to do a hard major like math, science, or engineering, you're better off with the larger facilities and opportunities of a state school anyway.
I come down on the side that young adults should walk away from school for a few years to decide what they want to do with their lives. Spending time being aimless at college, and spending a fortune doing it, really doesn't make any sense. You should only go to college these days if you have a real, concrete goal that requires a specific degree. (As long as you don't want to be yet another lawyer!)
Glenn Beck - Nutjob
Friday, November 19, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
In case there was any doubt...
I find it difficult to watch more than about 15 seconds of this. Who can stand this guy?
I find it difficult to watch more than about 15 seconds of this. Who can stand this guy?
Entropy increases
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Posted by
Auntie Ann
"'Entropy increase,' as my old friend Huxley used to say, and I've never heard a truer word spoken." ~ Dr. Who (Tom Baker, I think in the episode "Logopolis", 1981)
---
"Second law of Thermodynamics: The second law of thermodynamics states that the efficiency of a heat engine is always less than 100% and that the entropy of a closed system must always increase."
Every time I think about the rallying cry that the economy will turn around once millions of "green jobs" start popping up, I think of entropy.
Basically, physics says that things will settle into the lowest energy state, and continue to decline--entropy increases. In order to get something into a higher energy state, you have to put in more energy than you will ever get out.
Economic energy flows into the most-efficient means of production. Successful companies maximize their outputs and minimize their inputs--becoming more efficient. Unsuccessful ones will go under and disappear.
The "green jobs" movement's claims go against the laws of thermodynamics. Basically, they say that companies will gladly sign onto what are currently--and will be for the foreseeable future--less-efficient and more-expensive means of production.
Until the green technologies evolve to the point that they offer better efficiency than current forms, adaptation simply can't happen without government force in the form of either laws or subsidies. In the absence of subsidies, the companies that adapt "green" technologies will pay a premium for doing so--will be inherently less efficient and will collapse in favor of more-efficient non-green competitors. If instead of subsidies, the government enacts laws, they then run into the problem that we don't live in a closed domestic market. Non-green competition from abroad would wipe out the less-efficient, but piously green, domestic companies.
But, in an open international marketplace, funding non-efficient technologies through subsidies puts your whole economy at a disadvantage against companies that allow companies to thrive on their own merits.
Companies will gladly adapt green technologies when it gives them a competitive advantage. They currently can not offer that, despite all the hype.
How Dare You Not Shop At My Store!
Saturday, November 13, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
"Local" Boston grocery lashes out at his neighborhood.
How dare you not buy my $8 carton of eggs! Which part of "buy local" don't you understand? You'll buy what I tell you to buy, and don't give me any lip!
“Don Otto’s Market wants to say we had few customers that understood customer loyalty and its importance to our business,” a message on its Web site reads, later adding: “If you came in only for baguettes, the occasional piece of cheese, the occasional dinner . . . you can not tell yourself you were a supporter of our market.”
“People don’t understand their purchases make a difference, and that by buying something that wasn’t exactly what you want, it gets you closer to what you want. It’s an investment.”
How dare you not buy my $8 carton of eggs! Which part of "buy local" don't you understand? You'll buy what I tell you to buy, and don't give me any lip!
Arguing with liberals
Friday, November 12, 2010
Posted by
Auntie Ann
I think at some point, when you argue with a liberal, they will make a point so breathtakingly stupid that it is impossible to rebut it. If someone really believes that crap, you think, how can I possibly get through to them?
Steve: Like Ed Asner? Actually, I'm not sure liberals have a monopoly on this. Nuts abound on the Right as well, and among Libertarians too, I think. Just visit the comments section of politcal blogs. Pretty depressing.
Steve: Like Ed Asner? Actually, I'm not sure liberals have a monopoly on this. Nuts abound on the Right as well, and among Libertarians too, I think. Just visit the comments section of politcal blogs. Pretty depressing.
Case Closed
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA

There's nothing wrong with observing some interesting phenomenon and wondering "what the heck is that!?" Postulating this was a missile was perfectly reasonable, I think. The trouble is that no amount of evidence will convince some people once they have made that postulate. (I'm talking about people commenting in blogs.) They've decided it was a missile and that's that! Human nature, I guess, sad but true.
In case the text of in that screenshot is unclear, someone figured out what flight this was. At the same time the next day, he surfed over to a site showing a web-cam in the area. The webcam showed a contrail in the sky just like the one the day before.
Or maybe the Chinese have launched another missile!
Twinkie Diet
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
Posted by
SteveBrooklineMA
A researcher has lost 27 pounds in two months eating little more than Twinkies, a daily power shake, and a few vegetables. The reason this worked is that each day he took in fewer calories than he burned. It's not exactly rocket science.
After reading the comments about this on a few blogs, I'm sorry to report that many people really don't understand. It takes a certain amount of energy to do the things you do. If your body isn't getting sufficient energy from the food it takes in, it will make up the difference by breaking down tissue. The result is weight loss.
That's pretty much it. Yet it is common to hear people complain about how they eat nothing, exercise all the time, and don't lose weight. Where is their energy coming from then? Thin air? Perhaps they are burning fat but gaining water weight? Somehow I doubt that such a thing is common.
I think much of the diets out there do little but make money for their promoters. There is no miracle diet. Taking in fewer calories than you burn is all that matters.
That reminds me... I could lose 20 pounds or so...
After reading the comments about this on a few blogs, I'm sorry to report that many people really don't understand. It takes a certain amount of energy to do the things you do. If your body isn't getting sufficient energy from the food it takes in, it will make up the difference by breaking down tissue. The result is weight loss.
That's pretty much it. Yet it is common to hear people complain about how they eat nothing, exercise all the time, and don't lose weight. Where is their energy coming from then? Thin air? Perhaps they are burning fat but gaining water weight? Somehow I doubt that such a thing is common.
I think much of the diets out there do little but make money for their promoters. There is no miracle diet. Taking in fewer calories than you burn is all that matters.
That reminds me... I could lose 20 pounds or so...
EMP threat
Posted by
Auntie Ann
A missile went up last night not far from me; it is supposed to have been a rather large one, and according to reporters at the Pentagon, they have no clue who launched it.
I've long wondered about this scenario: Iran or some other group of not-friendlies gets nuclear weapons. They perform an underground test to which foreign observers are invited. They show those visitors the size and weight of the bomb. They then have a successful detonation. Next, they put a payload of exactly that size and weight onto a missile and fire it from land or sea, shoot the missile up in the air, and they have it harmlessly go boom at altitude. That nation would have demonstrated the ability to take out a large segment of the world with a single EMP weapon.
So, who launched that missile yesterday?
I've long wondered about this scenario: Iran or some other group of not-friendlies gets nuclear weapons. They perform an underground test to which foreign observers are invited. They show those visitors the size and weight of the bomb. They then have a successful detonation. Next, they put a payload of exactly that size and weight onto a missile and fire it from land or sea, shoot the missile up in the air, and they have it harmlessly go boom at altitude. That nation would have demonstrated the ability to take out a large segment of the world with a single EMP weapon.
So, who launched that missile yesterday?
Hmmm...
Posted by
Auntie Ann
Obama's handlers wouldn't let him visit the Sikh temple in Amritsar, because he would have to cover his head, and they worried people would think he was a muslim or something.
Obama's handlers have him scheduled to visit a mosque in Indonesia, which would in no way make people worry he was a muslim or something.
Obama's handlers have him scheduled to visit a mosque in Indonesia, which would in no way make people worry he was a muslim or something.


