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 This:

  Let Your Kids Go Without Adults And Shoes This Summer

I told you (them) so.

I put this on fb on August 6, 2020.

Putting it here, so I can always say "I told you so!"

Online school was mostly a complete failure. It means most of a generation of kids will not get an education until schools reopen.
Also, keep in mind the long-term consequences of an entire generation of parents (and property tax payers) being enormously pissed at public education. Those parents with the means to do so will find alternatives. Those with the ability to homeschool, will. Those who can find an online charter, will. Those who can afford to find online or in-person alternatives, will.
Those parents may never send their kids back to publics again. This will cause greater white flight from the public school system than forced busing did decades ago. People with the ability to find alternatives will be disproportionately white.
When schools reopen, they will be faced with slashed enrollments, and many schools will never recover. This will be the biggest blow to public schooling the US has ever seen.

Canadian protests

 I've been following the protests in Canada pretty closely. Just posted this elsewhere:


The day before yesterday, truckers (and drivers of regular cars) spread the demonstrations to the Ambassador Bridge in Detroit/Windsor Ontario. Many people on both sides of the border commute daily across that bridge and something like 25-35% of all cross-border freight comes across it. During rush hour last night, the Canada-bound lanes were completely shut down, and later, both sides were shut down. (Currently, the Canada-bound lanes are shut.) The traffic includes a great deal of auto parts going both into and out of Canada.

Meanwhile, there are reports that the Mounties and Ottawa police are planning to begin arrests before the week is out.

But, if you stop and think about who the protesters are–highly mobile truckers–and think about the border crossings in both Coutts and, now, Windsor being shut down, you realize how very stuck the government is.

Truckers are mobile. Despite a vast US/Canada border, there are actually a limited number of major highway crossings, especially in the east, where the Great Lakes are in the way. There’s no bridge across Lake Superior.

Looking at the map, there is the I-5 near Vancouver, the I-15 in Coutts, the I-29 going to Winnipeg along the ND/MN border, there is a non-interstate crossings near International Falls and Thunder Bay, the I-75 out of the UP of Michigan, the Ambassador Bridge in Detroit, the I-69 & I-94 out of Flint (which is seriously backed up this morning going into Canada), there are crossings in Buffalo, another north of Syracuse, then crossings near Montreal and Quebec City.

That’s just a dozen major highway crossings, and there are a lot of trucks (and farmers) in Canada.

If they start cracking down in Ottawa, look for trucks to block more crossings and slowing down all truck traffic nationwide.

Trudeau has few cards to play.

Covid, LA, and Teachers

LA County, posts: "Active COVID-19 Outbreaks in TK-12 Schools by Outbreak Site, Cases, and Contacts, Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Data through 09 Jan 2022". Their definitions of outbreak are:

-- Epidemiologically-linked means that the cases were present at some point in the same setting during the same time while infectious.
-- Outbreaks that are active means that there has been at least one COVID-19 case that is epidemiologically-linked to the outbreak cluster within the past 14 days.

They list 58 staff members testing positive in the last two weeks. Only 1 of those cases is tied to a classroom. All of the rest are from sports. For perspective, on January 4th, 2022, LA County racked up 55,257 cases, and in the 14 days ending on 09 Jan 2022, we had a total of 464,544 cases.

ONE case of covid in a staff member tied to a school classroom, out of 464,544.

Sources:

publichealth(dot)lacounty(dot)gov/media/Coronavirus/education/index.htm

dashboard(dot)publichealth(dot)lacounty(dot)gov/covid19_surveillance_dashboard/

Endemic covid in deer...and other mammals?

 This is my favorite study lately: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.10.31.466677v1

In testing done over 10 months ago, C-19 was endemic in White Tail Deer in Iowa in Nov 2020-Jan 2021: 82.5% testing positive for covid, some of which was genome tested and came from different lineages.

(And, wouldn't you know, the surge last fall in the upper midwest coincided almost perfectly with deer season. Minnesota's and Iowa's deer seasons, including everything from archery to muzzle loaders ran Sep 18 through the end of the year--and hospitalizations in MN and IA began to rise around Sep 19-21.)

So, my question is: if DEER have that high a prevalence, despite not having close contact with humans, doesn't that mean that our dogs, cats, gerbils, neighborhood squirrels, racoons, and rats--which we come in contact with every day--probably also have endemic covid, and are a source of transmission?

In which case, how can anyone believe that sticking a mask on your face part of the day will help anything???



From the article:

Multiple spillovers and onward transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in free-living and captive White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus)

Abstract

Many animal species are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 and could potentially act as reservoirs, yet transmission in non-human free-living animals has not been documented. White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus), the predominant cervid in North America, are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection, and experimentally infected fawns transmit the virus to other captive deer. To test the hypothesis that SARS-CoV-2 may be circulating in deer, we evaluated 283 retropharyngeal lymph node (RPLN) samples collected from 151 free-living and 132 captive deer in Iowa from April 2020 through December of 2020 for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Ninety-four of the 283 deer (33.2%; 95% CI: 28, 38.9) samples were positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA as assessed by RT-PCR. Notably, between Nov 23, 2020 and January 10, 2021, 80 of 97 (82.5%; 95% CI 73.7, 88.8) RPLN samples had detectable SARS-CoV-2 RNA by RT-PCR. Whole genome sequencing of the 94 positive RPLN samples identified 12 SARS-CoV-2 lineages, with B.1.2 (n = 51; 54.5%), and B.1.311 (n = 19; 20%) accounting for ~75% of all samples.

Kids and vaccines

Except for some sick kids, they never need to be vaccinated! If you calculate the efficacy of being a child (under 18) like they calculate the efficacy of vaccines*, you get this:

<blockquote>The efficacy of Pfizer against hospitalization is 88%.
The efficacy of youth against hospitalization is 86.6%

The efficacy of Pfizer against death is 95%.
The efficacy of youth against death is 99.7%.</blockquote>

We do not and should not shoot chemicals into a child's body without a good reason to do so. There is no good reason to give them any covid vaccine.

* formula for efficacy = [(rate in control group) - (rate in test group)]/(rate in control group)

Data from earlier this week, directly from CDC numbers:

Hospitalization rate in children per 100k = 55.5
Fatality rate in children per 100k = 0.74

Hospitalization rate in adults per 100k = 823
Fatality rate in adults per 100k = 211.6

** politico(dot)com/news/2021/09/17/cdc-study-finds-moderna-vaccine-is-best-at-preventing-covid-19-hospitalization-512565

Hospitalizations vs Variant B117