Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (VII)

 I'm continuing to track the press release numbers versus the more careful dashboard numbers for LA County (minus Long Beach and Pasadena). Currently, the press releases since July 15th has overstated the number of deaths by 15%, and over the last two weeks by 21.7%.

I've also graphed it. Notice the trendlines:

Again, blue is the press release and red is the more-careful dashboard. Notice the trendlines. The headline grabbing press release numbers, those numbers that get repeated in the news, are on the upswing, but the actual numbers are dropping fairly dramatically. A month ago, deaths in LA were around 40 a day, now they're down under 30, while the press releases show an increase of a few a day. The difference between the two trendlines is now around 33% (28 vs 37 on 8/9 (the last day outside the estimate range on the dashboard)).

Who decides on reopening

The Recession Is Over for the Rich, But the Working Class Is Far from Recovered

“The recession is nearly over for high-wage workers, but low-wage workers are no more than half-recovered,” said Friedman, who led the research, which is sponsored by Harvard and Brown universities and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

When Governor Newsom created his reopening task force, he staffed it with high executives of major companies, former big-name politicians (good lord, recalled Gray Davis made the cut!) environmental and political activists, and union bosses. I doubt, highly doubt, anyone on the list had a household income under $400k or a net worth under $3mil, nor were any merely high school graduates, or--heaven forbid--drop outs. There wasn't one gardener, waitress, manufacturing laborer, check-out clerk, minimum-wage earner, or small business owner. It was all big names and flashy resumes. (Read the list for yourself.)

Now, here we are four months later, and those people who were unrepresented on that task force are still ordered to be poor and desperate--they're losing their businesses and homes, and their children will lose a year of education with all the lifetime of poverty that comes with that--while all the people in the task-force's class are working and getting paid, and their kids all have parents with the education or money to actually move forward academically this year.

Funny how that works, huh?

It comes down to the question of who decides. In a technocratic world, the well educated and well placed get the freedom to choose, everyone else gets told what to do--and gets screwed.

I doubt it even crossed Newsom's mind, or the mind of anyone else on the task force, to seek a diversity of employment, education, wages, or class. They assume they should rule, because they are wealthier and better credentialed. 

It's the modern aristocracy claiming their right to power.

Covid negative

 I was feeling a little under the weather last week: slight sniffles, bit of a headache, maybe a little sore throat; but, since I work in healthcare adjacent and at a hospital, I had to call the employee health line. They told me to get my brain reamed. 

 I went in yesterday morning to have  q-tip shoved up my nose and twirled. It actually wasn't bad, though if it had gone on much longer, it might have been. The worst was the nurse saying it could make my brain hurt for maybe an hour! Yay! Within about 15 minutes, any after effects had disappeared.

They just called, I'm clear.

Boss asked if I wanted to work from home the rest of the week anyway. I do still have something, and if someone else caught it, they'd have to go through the same thing, so home it is.

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (VI)


Running Total Press Release: 633
Running Total Dashboard: 485
Total Decrease: 148
Total % Decrease: 23%

July 29: LADPH stated openly that the press release included backlogged data. That data would result in corrections to the dashboard as the deaths get properly attributed to the date of death, not the date the report reached the LADPH.
Press release deaths: 91 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 91
Final dashboard deaths*: 30
Reduction: 61
% Reduction: 67%

July 28:
Press release deaths: 51 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 51
Final dashboard deaths*: 20
Reduction: 31
% Reduction: 61%

July 27:
Press release deaths: 17 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 17
Final dashboard deaths*: 30
Increase: -13
% 
Increase: 77%

July 26:
Press release deaths: 10 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 29
Increase: -21
% 
Increase: 263%

July 25:
Press release deaths: 53 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 53
Final dashboard deaths*: 36
Reduction: 17
% Reduction: 32%

July 24:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 43
Final dashboard deaths*: 37
Reduction: 6
% Reduction: 14%

July 23:
Press release deaths: 49 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 47
Final dashboard deaths*: 28
Reduction: 19
% Reduction: 40%

July 22:
Press release deaths: 64 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 63
Final dashboard deaths*: 38
Reduction: 25
% Reduction: 40%

July 21:
Press release deaths: 50 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 49
Final dashboard deaths*: 40
Reduction: 9
% Reduction: 18%

July 20:
Press release deaths: 9 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 37
Increase: 29
% Increase: 363%


July 19:
Press release deaths: 11 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 11
Final dashboard deaths*: 28
Increase: 17
% Increase: 155%


July 18:
Press release deaths: 37 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 36
Final dashboard deaths*: 31
Reduction: 5
% Reduction: 14%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 31
Reduction: 30
% Reduction: 49%

July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 40
Reduction: 14
% Reduction: 26%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 30
Reduction: 11
% Reduction: 27%

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (V)

July 28 is the last day so far with solid data. On July 29th the press release stated they included a large number of backlogged deaths. That should be reflected in the dashboard numbers below.

Running Total Press Release: 542
Running Total Dashboard: 455
Total Decrease: 87
Total % Decrease: 16%

July 28:
Press release deaths: 51 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 51
Final dashboard deaths*: 20
Reduction: 31
% Reduction: 61%

July 27:
Press release deaths: 17 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 17
Final dashboard deaths*: 30
Increase: -13
% 
Increase: 77%

July 26:
Press release deaths: 10 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 29
Increase: -21
% 
Increase: 263%

July 25:
Press release deaths: 53 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 53
Final dashboard deaths*: 36
Reduction: 17
% Reduction: 32%

July 24:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 43
Final dashboard deaths*: 37
Reduction: 6
% Reduction: 14%

July 23:
Press release deaths: 49 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 47
Final dashboard deaths*: 28
Reduction: 19
% Reduction: 40%

July 22:
Press release deaths: 64 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 63
Final dashboard deaths*: 38
Reduction: 25
% Reduction: 40%

July 21:
Press release deaths: 50 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 49
Final dashboard deaths*: 40
Reduction: 9
% Reduction: 18%

July 20:
Press release deaths: 9 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 37
Increase: 29
% Increase: 363%


July 19:
Press release deaths: 11 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 11
Final dashboard deaths*: 28
Increase: 17
% Increase: 155%


July 18:
Press release deaths: 37 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 36
Final dashboard deaths*: 31
Reduction: 5
% Reduction: 14%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 31
Reduction: 30
% Reduction: 49%

July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 40
Reduction: 14
% Reduction: 26%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 30
Reduction: 11
% Reduction: 27%

NEJM should know better

I was just following a bunch of links on reopening the schools, and landed on this article:

"Reopening Primary Schools during the Pandemic" (Meira Levinson, D.Phil., Muge Cevik, M.D., and Marc Lipsitch, D.Phil.)  (DOI: 10.1056/NEJMms2024920 [and may I say, the invention of the DOI system is one of the greatest gifts to mankind!])

In the article is this:

Furthermore, even when they are in the building, teachers may struggle to teach and students may struggle to learn under rigorous social distancing conditions. Young children cannot reliably maintain physical distance, and teachers cannot simultaneously enforce distancing and teach. In-person classes that require students to look straight ahead and work independently (as many proposals for distanced classrooms recommend) violate evidence-based good teaching practices.(17)


Knowing that looking straight ahead and working independently does not violate  evidence-based good teaching practices, but only violates what teachers are erroneously taught in ed schools, I followed footnote #17 to...and opinion piece published in the Washington Post.

No evidence in sight!

"Perspective | The case against reopening schools during the pandemic — by a fifth-grade teacher" Authored by Valerie Strauss, but with the "Perspective" coming from fifth grade teacher Rose Levine.

Here's her "evidence-based" claims...oh, wait, she didn't give any! Just her perceptions and her "perspective" of her classroom:

Sharing a classroom allows our elementary cohorts to become like family. We play games, exchange smiles, sit in circles on the rug and tell stories. We taste each other’s food and whisper in each other’s ears. We have casual exchanges during downtimes at recess or transitions between subjects. We share supplies, collaborate and take turns, and in so doing we build a model of accountability to one another and our community.


Evidence!

This is my favorite part of the piece, where she's complaining about the physical distancing which would be required in reopened schools:

A student experiencing abuse at home can’t find a way to share that information with a trusted adult without the whole class overhearing.


So, think about that one a little logically: a student is being abused at home, so we must keep them there, because at school they wouldn't be able to tell anyone about it. Okay...yeah, I don't get that one. 

Then there's this, which is about the closest the article comes to the point the NEJM authors were using the footnote for:
Because we know that students learn best when they collaborate with peers, discuss their thinking aloud, and experience instruction tailored to exactly the skills they need to learn next.


How does Ms Levine know that? Because that's probably what she was taught in ed school and at every teacher's training session she's ever been too. In the ed world, student-centered classrooms are a given, and anything that contradicts that is an anathema.

The NEJM should have actually linked to another journal as evidence, if they could. But actual journal articles supporting student-centered learning are few and far between. The evidence is mostly on the other side. Which leads us to the arguments in the ed world about scientific studies being bad, because they don't say what they know to be true, and there are other ways of knowing, you know.

I find it astounding that this "perspective" was used to bolster a NEJM piece. A peer-reviewed, scientific journal, and one with a strong international reputation like the New England Journal of Medicine, should do better than a footnote linking to an opinion. Especially when they claim it's to "evidence".

But, then, NEJM authors aren't education experts, so a WaPo op ed sounded good enough to them.

Oh, wait, one of the authors is at the Harvard Graduate School of Education!

He should certainly have known better, and had at his fingertips the journal articles that would have actually supported his point. Huh. I find it interesting that he linked to an op-ed instead then. Maybe because the "evidence-based" science doesn't actually back his point. Which gets me back to ed schools teaching the wrong thing to our teachers.

Of course, that link weakened their case and made them look like twits to the one person in the entire world who would actually follow their footnote (Who? Me?)

When it comes to collaborative, student-centered, constructivist-style teaching, I love what happened with the PISA exam (PISA is a series of exams given internationally, and one of the only ways to compare the educational systems in different countries.)

So convinced were they that student-centered ed systems would do better, that they announced they would track it.

Would schools that used old-fashioned, lecture/response, sitting in neat little lines schools do worse than energetic, project-based, collaboration-based, student-centered (no lecture please!) systems?

When the evidence came back for the traditional old way, they quickly dropped the subject and moved on. There's a lot of moving on in the ed world.

(Greg Ashman's write-up of the PISA experiment.)

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (V)

Running Total Press Release: 262
Running Total Dashboard: 188
Total Decrease: 74
Total % Decrease: 28%

July 21:
Press release deaths: 50 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 49
Final dashboard deaths*: 34
Reduction: 15
% Reduction: 31%

July 20:
Press release deaths: 9 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 24
Increase: 16
% Increase: 200%


July 19:
Press release deaths: 11 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 11
Final dashboard deaths*: 19
Increase: 8
% Increase: 73%


July 18:
Press release deaths: 39 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 38
Final dashboard deaths*: 27
Reduction: 11
% Reduction: 29%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 24
Reduction: 37
% Reduction: 61%

July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 34
Reduction: 20
% Reduction: 37%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 26
Reduction: 15
% Reduction: 37%

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (IV)

Running Total Press Release: 213
Running Total Dashboard: 153
Total Decrease: 60
Total % Decrease: 29%

July 20:
Press release deaths: 9 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 8
Final dashboard deaths*: 23
Increase: 15
% Increase: 188%


July 19:
Press release deaths: 11 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 11
Final dashboard deaths*: 19
Increase: 8
% Increase: 73%


July 18:
Press release deaths: 39 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 38
Final dashboard deaths*: 27
Reduction: 11
% Reduction: 29%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 24
Reduction: 37
% Reduction: 61%
 
July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 34
Reduction: 20
% Reduction: 37%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 26
Reduction: 15
% Reduction: 37%

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (III)

July 19 actually understated the finalized deaths. More also are getting attributed to the other dates below, so the numbers have pulled back slightly. Still, most days are overstating by 30-40%.

July 19:
Press release deaths: 11 (with 0 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 11
Final dashboard deaths*: 18
Increase: 7
% Increase: 64%


July 18:
Press release deaths: 39 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 38
Final dashboard deaths*: 25
Reduction: 13
% Reduction: 34%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 22
Reduction: 39
% Reduction: 64%

July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 32
Reduction: 22
% Reduction: 41%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 26
Reduction: 15
% Reduction: 37%

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books (II)

The numbers are in now for the 18th, with revisions for the other days as well:

July 18:
Press release deaths: 39 (with 1 of those in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 38
Final dashboard deaths*: 24
Reduction: 14
% Reduction: 37%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 23
Reduction: 38
% Reduction: 62%
 
July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 30
Reduction: 24
% Reduction: 44%

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths: 25
Reduction: 16
% Reduction: 39%

Los Angeles covid data cooks the books

(Wow, over 2 years since we posted. I suppose it's time.)

Every day here in LA, like pretty much everywhere, the county health officials get up in front of the cameras and talk about the latest covid data. Look how many have just died!!! they trumpet, and the press repeats that number on the nightly news and in their headlines. 59! 62! Horrible! Panic everyone!

Then...about a week later, the county solidifies its data on a dashboard, and that top headline number has, low and behold!, shrunk by 40%, 50%,  or more.

Let's go to the three latest dates that they have more-or-less final data: July 15-17.

July 15:
Press release deaths: 44 (with 2 of those in Long Beach and 1 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 41
Final dashboard deaths*: 23
Reduction: 18
% Reduction: 44%

July 16:
Press release deaths: 59 (with 5 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 54
Final dashboard deaths: 30
Reduction: 24
% Reduction: 44%

July 17:
Press release deaths: 62 (with 1 in Long Beach and 0 in Pasadena)
LB & Pas removed: 61
Final dashboard deaths: 22
Reduction: 39
% Reduction: 64%
Now, these numbers continue to change a bit, but that headline number from last Friday, the one everyone hears on the news, isn't even close to the finalized number--the real number was only a third of the original number.

Sources:

LA Dept of Heath website: http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/

Dashboard: http://dashboard.publichealth.lacounty.gov/covid19_surveillance_dashboard/

Archived press releases: http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubdisplay.cfm?unit=media&ou=ph&prog=media

* The dashboard does not include Long Beach or Pasadena, that's why I'm removing those from the calculations.
Do animated gifs work on blogger?


Petard

Brilliant!

Eric Worrall, Watts Up With That
“If the science is settled, why do we need research scientists to continue inquiring into the settled science?” [ The Australian Attorney General George] Brandis said on Tuesday.

“Wouldn’t it be a much more useful allocation of taxpayers’ money and research capacity within CSIRO to allocate its resources to an area where the science isn’t settled?”

[...] In my opinion George Brandis is spot on – government climate scientists are caught in a political pincer of their own making.

If climate science is settled enough to make confident predictions, why do we need so many climate researchers? If climate science is not settled, why do climate scientists keep pretending it is?

You don’t have to be a climate scientist, to smell the “inconsistency”.

Economic literacy

Today's prize for economic literacy goes to:

"Even as markets overflow"

Wow! You mean as supply increases it doesn't increase price too?! Whaaat??

Tired. She gets tired.

Life imitates Dr Who "The Christmas Invasion" (2006) [ You Tube ] :

Doctor: I can bring down your government with a single word.

Harriet Jones (Prime Minister): You are the most remarkable man I've ever met, but I don't think you're quite capable of that.

Doctor: No, you're right. Not a single word...just six.

Harriet: I don't think so.

Doctor: Six words.

Harriet: Stop it!

Doctor: Six....
[Doctor walks over to her aide, takes off his earpiece and quietly into his ear... ]
Doctor: Don't you think she looks tired?
Today, in Hillaryland [ Politico ]:
"You know, Bill Clinton, he gets so much energy from the people at his rallies. When he’s working a rope line, you can just see him light up. You know, she’s tired. She gets tired. She does it. She does it dutifully." - Solis Doyle, former Hillary Clinton campaign manager.

Ted Bezat? Now, where have I heard that name?

Hasta La Vista, Socialism! (2)

Ted Bezat writes to comment on John’s post “Hasta La Vista, Socialism!” celebrating the election results in Venezuela earlier this week.

Satellites and CO2

Update (original posted about a year ago):
 A new space race: satellites could test the world's climate vows
Scientists from the United States, Japan, and China are racing to perfect satellite technology that could one day measure greenhouse gas emissions from space, potentially transforming the winner into the world's first climate cop.


Monitoring a single country's net emissions from above could not only become an important tool to establish whether it had met its promises to slow global warming, a point of contention at climate talks in Paris, but also help emitters to pinpoint the sources of greenhouse gases more quickly and cheaply.

[...]

The U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), launched its first satellite to measure atmospheric CO2 in July last year.

The challenge now is to convert the images - which pick up carbon concentrations in the form of yellow, orange, and red blobs - into emissions data, said Steven Pawson, chief of the Global Modelling and Assimilation Office at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center.
Orange and yellow, orange, and red blobs, huh? But, notice: they didn't include a satellite image of these blobs, which you would think they would....

.... except...maybe the satellite doesn't show what they want it to show...like perhaps it shows that southern African and South America are major CO2 sources, and are greater sources than those evil northern capitalist polluters in the US, Europe, and China.

See my previous post from last year:

------------

I just want to park this article somewhere for future reference. As a background: NASA sent up a satellite which can map CO2 emissions. I'm sure everyone on the team and in the science community expected a result showing North America, Europe and China as BAD!!! and places like Africa and the Amazon rain forest as GOOD!!!

However, the satellite showed pretty much the exact opposite: the Amazon and other verdant areas, it turns out, send out massive amounts of atmospheric CO2, much more than do the developed world.

NASA/JPL image from CO2 Satellite


A post on Watts Up With That asks the question: what's next? and posits that there are three options:

1) The satellite will continue to operate well, with clean, reliable data being transmitted to the world.

2) NASA will try to fudge the data by averaging and massaging it to oblivion.

3) The satellite will suffer a catastrophic failure and be decommissioned.

As the author, Ronald D Voisin, says, if the data is taken seriously then certain facts have to be faced. such as:
Insect and microbial emissions, each at 10X all anthropogenic emission, dominate in these lush forested areas while the historically mildly warming oceans are also net CO2 contributors. And, anthropogenic emission is essentially irrelevant to atmospheric CO2 concentration at an approximately 2% contribution to the natural flux.

Google is blocking search results (Update)

Update of a post from May 18, 2014.

In light of this post over on Watts Up With That: "Exclusive: Search Page for Realist Side of the Climate Change Debate", I thought I'd go back and update an earlier post...

I just redid a Google and Bing search I detailed a year ago again. The search was for "united states" "air polution" graph +improving, and the results I got from, Google were really out of whack with what I would have expected from a fair websearch. Bing did just fine..

Since then, it has only gotten worse. Here's the exact same Google search as a year ago. Now, instead of 6 results, 5 pull up; one of which is my own post from a year ago. And many of the rest are completely irrelevant, including one entitled "Next Big Future: Fully Automatic Sewing of Garments Using ..."



Bing, on the other had, now offers up 164,000 results, and the top ones are actually about air polution.


------------

Previous post from 5/18/2014:

I can't see any other way of interpreting this than the fact that Google is obviously blocking search results in the pursuit of environmental regulations and politics.

Type the following into Bing's search form: "united states" "air pollution" graph +improving

and you get almost 64,000 results, including several links to the EPA and to Wikipedia:


Type the same thing into Google and you get 6 results, which are mostly junk:


Lost in the bog

Sometimes, I spend time posting to fb, only to see my post disappear into the depths. Sometimes, I post a copy here. This is one such...

First, some background...

Since I don't play video games, I was only a spectator in GamerGate--and saw that it seemed there were serious problems with incestuous relationships between game makers and magazine reviewers. Still, it wasn't my fight or my world. The same goes for the Hugo awards and the Sad Puppies mess. Just like modern television, I rarely read science fiction that is happening now, instead, I occasionally read old stuff, so I hadn't and haven't read any of the books either nominated or discussed surrounding this year's Hugos. However, I read (a fellow Dwiggie) Sarah Hoyt's, blog from time to time, have read Larry Correia's posts on the controversy, and have seen the way their (and Brad Torgerson's and others) desire for the Hugos to be based on writing merit, instead of insider connections and polemical leftist writing (aka: boring politics-based tracts), has been denigrated as a bunch of skummy white guys proposing a misogynistic and racist set of nominations. Just as with GamerGate, that simply isn't so.

In case you haven't been following...three years ago, an author wrote in a blog post on his website a list of titles that he thought were deserving of Hugos. He also noted that the actual list of nominations and awards in the last few years seem to be dominated by a small clique of authors and publishers who leaned leftist, and who wrote in a didactic, leftist, SJW way--which this author (Larry Correia) thought was very boring and not indicative of the best of science fiction. He picked the name "Sad Puppies" because the leftists always seemed to him to behave like sad puppies. He did this in part to provoke a reaction from the clique which seemed to be dominating the awards and predicted he would be labeled as an evil, racist, misogynist bastard. He was 100% correct.

The backlash was outsized: he was blasted for daring to suggest a different set of titles and slammed as an obvious racist for not jumping on the bandwagon to promote transgressive leftist art. The insiders went absolutely insane trying to circle the wagons and exorcise the evil.

In short, they dramatically proved his point.

The next year, he did it again and got the even more of a reaction, but also a wider notice.

This year, he handed off the creation of the slate of nominees to Brad Torgerson, and the slate of suggestions succeeded beyond their wildest dreams. When the list of nominees for the Hugo came out a few months ago, almost every single slot in every single category was claimed by works suggested by Sad Puppies. (Also by Rabid Puppies, led by Vox Day, who seems to delight in pressing buttons by posting openly misogynistic things around the internet. Whether he is doing this out of conviction, or just trolling to piss people off is hard to tell. He has, however, pissed off lots of people, especially people fond of Sad Puppies, because the the tar he is covered with keeps splashing on them.)

In response to this success, the insiders again circled their wagons. Often proudly crowing that they would never read any of the SP nominations, and would never in a million years consider voting for them on merit, they urged their followers to basically write in "No Award." Despite a deserving and  diverse group of nominations on the ballot, last night, none of the SP nominations won. Instead, the Hugo voters preferred to give no award, and to not even give them the benefit of a legitimate look, than choose from the nominees suggested by SP. (Well, it is democratic, you might ask, isn't this just democracy working? Yes, however, the SP voters had multiple nominations to choose from and therefore diluted their vote, while the insiders dedicated themselves to the "No Award" option. In other words, the SP's spit their vote.)

So when a friend (and another fellow Dwiggie) posted a link to the Wired magazine coverage of the awards, and claimed it as a clear explanation--which it certainly is not--it's as biased as much of what the MSM has printed about this year's controversy--I felt compelled to respond. First a snippet from Wired:

Wired Magazine
But in recent years, as sci-fi has expanded to include storytellers who are women, gays and lesbians, and people of color, the Hugos have changed, too. At the presentation each August, the Gods with the rockets in their hands have been joined by Goddesses and those of other ethnicities and genders and sexual orientations, many of whom want to tell stories about more than just spaceships.

Early this year, that shift sparked a backlash: a campaign, organized by three white, male authors, that resulted in a final Hugo ballot dominated by mostly white, mostly male nominees. While the leaders of this two-pronged movement—one faction calls itself the Sad Puppies and the other the Rabid Puppies—broke no rules, many sci-fi writers and fans felt they had played dirty, taking advantage of a loophole in an arcane voting process that enables a relatively few number of voters to dominate. Motivated by Puppygate, meanwhile, a record 11,300-plus people bought memberships to the 73rd World Science Fiction Convention in Spokane, Washington, where the Hugo winners were announced Saturday night.
I responded with this:

This one (written back in April), which was a statistical analysis of nominees over time, is better. The Good Reads score versus Hugo winners is important. Since about 2000, the books fans seem to like and the books that win Hugos have been diverging. Also, Hugos are supposed to be awarded democratically based on the voting of readers, but the number of voters is actually very small.

Before SP began posting suggestions (SP1 was originally nothing more than a blog post), only about 2,000 SF fans voted for the Hugos. This year close to 6,000 did--and that's the stated end goal of the leaders of the SP movement: to increase the number of voters, so that it returns to being a fan-based vote, instead of a vote of only a small contingent.

As for the leaders of SP being "3 white men", I'm assuming one of those three is Vox Day--who isn't any part of SP at all, but runs a separate slate called Rabid Puppies, and most SP folks are not fans of his. As for the leaders of SP, it's generally regarded as Larry Correia, who ran it for the first two years, then Brad Torgerson, who ran it this year--and who is married to a black woman and has a mixed race child, Sarah Hoyt--a woman (full name: Sarah Marques de Almeida Hoyt) who is a native of Portugal, has a very thick accent, and has written about how her kids were discriminated against in school because a teacher viewed them as "Hispanic", and Kate Paulk--who will run SP4 next year. Not 3 men, and not all white.

California breathing, on a summer’s day

Back when my sister first moved out to Los Angeles, I remember often seeing the dark orange band that circled the city: the layer of disgusting smog, so bad you could taste it. Reformulated gasoline, emissions standards, a shift from making California’s electricity in California (and polluting our own skies) to importing our electricity from Arizona (thus polluting the skies there instead, much better!) and a decline in heavy manufacturing all helped clear the air. (Major solar and wind installations came more recently than the reductions in smog.)



But California air is still filthy. Maybe it’s because it rains so little here, that the general grime never gets washed away down to the rivers--or the concrete ditches we refer to mockingly as “rivers”--and the slightest breeze picks it up again and turns it airborne. Maybe it’s coal smoke coming over from China (US air is cleaner when it leaves the east coast than when it arrives in the west, or at least can still be a significant contributing factor: http://news.wisc.edu/14557) Or maybe, there is still a lot of domestic particulate pollution going on. Whatever the cause, it’s one of the things you really notice when you come out here: how often you have to dust, how often you have to change the air filters on your furnace and in your car, and how gross your rugs get between deep cleaning.

Because of the heat wave last week, and our running the air conditioner much more than normal, I checked whether it was time to replace one of the furnace filters; it could still hold out for a while longer (I buy the filters in bulk.) That same day, I walked past a little fan I often keep in my bedroom window, and realized how disgusting and grimy the thing was. And I mean really disgusting, with black strings of grime attached to the grill and blowing out of it like streamers. 



Now memory is an interesting thing: looking at the filter and later at the fan, made me think of Alton Brown’s contraption for drying fresh herbs ( http://altonbrown.com/how-to-dry-and-store-herbs/.) He took a box fan and some furnace filters, put the herbs between the filters, strapped them on to the back of the fan and ran it for a day or so, and voila! dried herbs.


Well, I thought, if an air filter can work to dry herbs...why not use an air filter as an air filter!

Last Saturday, I went to the hardware store and picked up a filter to match my box fan. I used painters tape to attach it and have been running it for a week. Often I hung it, as usual, in my window; but, when the air conditioner was on and the windows closed, I ran it on a low speed down on the floor.

One week later and the filter is already gray and gross. I will now never run the fan without a filter on the back, and I’ll get one for Elizabeth’s matching fan as well!